Shoulder of hope

Day Nine:
On the side of the country’s busiest highway, on a morning when financial Armageddon threatened to wash over, we stood and waved signs about taxes and the middle class at passing cars.

This did nothing to stem losses on the markets, but it was not without meaning. As hundreds of vehicles passed, full of commuters about to enter the gridlock of the 401 at 7 am, people honked, waved and smiled. At least, in the split second they saw us on the eastbound ramp, it may have given them hope.

And that was the point. We have a paucity of it. The middle class is under siege, and the people who run this country right now are simply making the hole wider, deeper and more impossible to scramble out of. We need change. Badly. Soon.

The carnage on Wall Street breathlessly reported on car radios will not be contained at the border, of course. As Lehman Brothers and Merrill Lynch join Fannie and Freddie and Bear Stearns, a credit crisis of global proportions is brewing. It may have been born in lousy lending practices, greed, junk securities and Flip-This-House excess, but it’s now the stuff of Main Street.

Here’s what’s coming: Increased qualifications for mortgages, and sharply lower real estate values. I forecast this over a year ago, and pressed Finance Minister Jim Flaherty to acknowledge the danger, and act. He did not. Now it’s here.

Today the country’s realtors revealed that the average house price in Canada fell 5% last month from a year ago, the third monthly decline. That may not sound like much, and it isn’t. But it’s on it’s way to 15%, which is a hell of a lot – $90,000 on a Vancouver bungalow and $60,000 on homes lining the Burlington street I canvassed this afternoon. For recent young buyers sucked in by zero-down and Mr. Flaherty’s toxic 40-year mortgages, this is a disaster. They will owe more than they own.

The crash on Wall Street – just the latest in a stack of falling dominoes – means a longer, sharper American recession. This impacts us, of course, especially when the government has done so many wrong things. Income tax cuts should have replaced the GST cuts. Record government spending should have been reined in. Our high-dollar policy should have been trashed. Help to the auto sector should have come before it was on its knees. Family finances should have been helped with income-splitting and tax-deductible RESPs.

Instead of offering any hope today, all the prime minister could do was mutter platitudes and then start attacking Dion. This was little assurance as RRSPs were melting away, and post-hurricane gas prices were emptying wallets. Surely after being in control of the country for three years, he could have done more than attack the opposition leader.

If nothing else, he might have pledged to do better, if he gets another mandate. Stop telling people to avoid investing in Ontario. Reverse the disastrous investment-robbing income trust decision. Better regulate the mortgage industry so people without money don’t buy homes. Cut income taxes and at least give lip service to the plight of the middle class. Stand behind Canadian corporations and jobs.

After all, this is just the start. But Mr. Harper knows that – it’s the reason we’re at the polls now, rather than in October 2009. He wants this election behind him, well before those commuters in their minivans and crossovers discover their homes can’t sell and their retirement funds laid an egg.

By standing on the side of the road, which I will do many more times, I am giving a signal that hope is possible and the status quo is not. I’m telling my constituents, should they send me back to Ottawa, they can expect my fight for income-splitting, better child care, income tax cuts, mortgage reform and sane spending to continue.

Without a vibrant and hopeful middle class, Mr. Harper can turn the lights out when he leaves.

Unless he leaves first.

35 comments ↓

#1 warren f on 09.15.08 at 10:35 pm

the middle class was under attack when trudeau came in. most older people tell me it was pearson that started it.

libs pretending to be looking out for average canadians is a sick joke. the cons are not much better. both are killing the golden goose. it is called globalism and that is why both parties have sold us down the river! that is the bottom line.

#2 Simon on 09.15.08 at 10:40 pm

“sharply lower real estate values’?

Does that mean the prices will decline from the wild runup we’ve been seeing the last little while to something where they’re more in line with incomes. As a general rule there should be a link between what houses cost and what workers earn so I’d say the Liberals shouldn’t come out as advocating anything that’d discourage housing prices finding a more appropriate level. You’re not saying the Liberals are advocates of inflated real estate are you, Garth?

#3 Bonnie L on 09.15.08 at 10:52 pm

Another Harper Lie

http://www.liberal.ca/story_14592_e.aspx

Harper claims National Citizens Coalition was self-owned and operated “business”

Stephen Harper pointed to his own experience of “running a business” as an example of the need to allow self-employed Canadians to voluntarily pay to receive access to Employment Insurance.

“You know, I’m from a household where before I got back into politics, both my wife and I were running small businesses. I was running, I suppose better to say a medium-sized business, and she was running a small business, and we’re aware of these difficulties.” (Stephen Harper, CTV NewsNet, September 15, 2008)

I cannot believe this man. He has got to be a sociopath to blatantly lie like that. Absolutely no conscience. The NCC is a rather secretive organization started to stop our universal health care so just guess what else it is about. –Not caring for Canadians for sure.

Here are some descriptions of sociopath

Contemptuous of those who seek to understand them
Does not perceive that anything is wrong with them
Authoritarian
Secretive
Paranoid
Only rarely in difficulty with the law, but seeks out situations where their tyrannical behavior will be tolerated, condoned, or admired
Conventional appearance
Goal of enslavement of their victim(s)
Exercises despotic control over every aspect of the victim’s life
Has an emotional need to justify their crimes and therefore needs their victim’s affirmation (respect, gratitude and love)
Ultimate goal is the creation of a willing victim
Incapable of real human attachment to another
Unable to feel remorse or guilt
Extreme narcissism and grandiose
May state readily that their goal is to rule the world

I seem to remember Harper had all the pictures of previous PM’s removed from a room in the House and replaced them with photos of him.–grandiose? I could go on with matching up some of these characteristics with Harper.

#4 A.R.Wainwright on 09.15.08 at 11:10 pm

Teck Cominco Ltd. says its $14-billion US bid to buy the Fording Canadian Coal Trust is still on and set to close at the end of October despite speculation to the contrary that caused Fording units to plummet Monday.

More fallout from the Income Trust fiasco. Just remember folks who will have to pick up the tax slack due to these off shore sell outs.

#5 unintended consequences on 09.15.08 at 11:15 pm

Does that mean the prices will decline from the wild runup we’ve been seeing the last little while to something where they’re more in line with incomes.
By Simon on 09.15.08 10:40 pm

That is an incredible amount of arrogance. Your flippant remarks can`t even be compared with every event we come closer to a global depression or WW3.

“Does that mean the prices will decline from the wild runup”

We wouldn`t have had the wild runup without the 40/0, now we`ve got hundreds of thousands of homeowners saddled with bankruptcy or a 40 year debt that might take 20 years to break even or be paid off before housing reached the levels we`ve just seen. That`s what the numbers say.

All this was evident when it was created and yet a minority government passed it.

#6 Smokingjoe on 09.15.08 at 11:32 pm

So when Harpo blows this electon who will be the new CON candidate to replace him? Back room talk from out West says that some influential people are ready to start a revolt if nothing changes after this election….

#7 pissinginthetent.com on 09.15.08 at 11:36 pm

I really think we are sliding into another depression. I just sold my home, and we are renting for the next while, and I stuck a good portion of my money in Gold and Silver. At least I know Gold and Silver doesn’t go to zero.

#8 cms on 09.15.08 at 11:37 pm

“Regulation to reduce greenhouse gases and air pollutants will inevitably come at a cost–and those costs will be borne, at least in part, by individual Canadians and their families.” (Source: ‘Manageable costs’, Conservative government’s EcoACTION policy manual, April 26th, 2007.)

#9 Donny on 09.15.08 at 11:46 pm

It is a slippery and fast slide to fascism. Think about it the next time you are “taken down” for a parking violation.

Every psychopath has his own magazine these days. Sixty years ago, my father crossed and ocean to fight and defeat people who think like the Neo Con Party.

Evidently, we are now about to welcome them to “do what’s best for Canada” because we’re better off with Harper”

fnord

#10 Charles Oxley on 09.16.08 at 1:26 am

“. . . We need change. Badly. Soon.”

There is no doubt that Canada needs change, and we may get change, although it won’t be the kind of change anyone expects.

Has anyone ever really thought of why harpo called an election? There must be a clear-cut reason, and so far, I haven’t seen this possibility discussed.

Parliament certainly wasn’t dysfunctional — I seem to recall MPs were just about at the end of their summer holidays when all this mumbo-jumbo talk began.

Consider a ‘false flag’ on the US; it is not carried out by terrorists, but an economic tsunami, the likes of which has now spread world-wide, and we are only a little into this monster of a wave.

This allows dubya to stay where he is, powers to suspend the US election, declare martial law and because we are in the throes of an election when there shouldn’t have been one, harpo would follow his mentor to a T, and impose the same upon us.

Cdn. citizens would have no choice but to watch CRAP destroy our country, so it may end up being merged with the US.

After all, dubya has absoutely nothing to lose by this, as well as starting wars across the globe and blaming others, such as Russia.

Just a thought for the night.

#11 Men With Hats on 09.16.08 at 1:31 am

***STOP HARPER NOW***

SASKATOON – Jenna Little wants to mark her ballot for the Green party, but she says she doesn’t want to waste her vote.

So the woman from Mississauga, Ont., has joined a group on Facebook to swap votes with someone in another Ontario riding during next month’s federal election.

“I just met my match on the site,” the 24-year-old paralegal said Thursday.

“She’s from London, (Ont.). She’s willing to vote Green if someone else will vote Liberal and Mississauga just happens to need a Liberal vote, so I’ll go Liberal.”

More than 350 people from across the country had become members of the “Anti-Harper Vote Swap Canada” group as of Thursday afternoon. The group was created Wednesday morning.

Alongside a grinning, flag-waving beaver, the site states: “Stop Harper and advance a progressive agenda without betraying your personal beliefs.”

Mat Savelli from Hamilton, Ont., said he started the group to keep Stephen Harper and the Conservatives from winning a majority government.

The website lists 41 ridings that will likely be close battlegrounds, such as Parry Sound-Muskoka in Ontario, Vancouver Island North in British Columbia and Saskatoon-Rosetown-Biggar in Saskatchewan.

Conservative MP Tony Clement won the Parry Sound riding in the last election by a slim margin of 28 votes.

“If you could just switch 28 NDP supporters or Green supporters and get them to vote Liberal, that would have been one less seat for the Conservatives,” said Savelli, who is now in Romania working on his PhD in history, but plans on voting from abroad.

He said a handful of swaps have already been agreed to on the site, which runs strictly on the “honour system.”

He expects most people are waiting until the week before the election to assess the polls and make a decision

“If we could change the results in one riding to overturn a Conservative victory that would be massive,” Savelli said. “But more than anything, I want people to be able to continue to support smaller parties.

“One of Canada’s greatest electoral features is the fact that we have a multi-party system.”

Strategic voting, or tactical voting, is nothing new in Canadian politics.

In the 2006 federal election, Canadian Autoworkers president and NDP supporter Buzz Hargrove created a stir when he asked traditional NDP voters to cast their ballots for Liberal candidates in ridings where the Liberals had a better shot at beating the Conservatives.

The Facebook group takes the idea one step further, formalizing the process.

Savelli said he got the vote swapping idea from American friends, who watched “vote pairing” grow popular on various websites starting during the 2000 presidential election campaign.

The VotePair website boasts that it had nearly 30,000 members and 2,700 voting pairs during the 2004 presidential race.

Despite protests and attempts to close such sites down in the United States, American courts have cleared the way for the practice.

Vote swapping is also popular in the United Kingdom.

Camille Labchuk, a press secretary for the Greens, said she was not aware of vote swapping and the party will not be promoting it.

The Canada Elections Act states it is an offence to offer or take a bribe for a vote, or improperly provide or be in the possession of a ballot. A spokeswoman for Elections Canada said she could not comment further on the issue.

But David McGrane, a political studies professor at the University of Saskatchewan, sees nothing legally wrong with vote swapping.

There is a risk, however, that the scheme will backfire on voters.

“Strategic voting is extremely difficult to do, because what you’re basically trying to do is predict the future,” he said. “I always say vote for who you actually believe in. Let the chips fall where they may.”

The fact that people are moving toward more formalized strategic voting may point to the need for electoral reform, McGrane said.

One of the solutions would proportional representation – in which the popular vote determines how many seats a party gets in the House of Commons.

Some provinces have held referendums on different types of electoral reform but they have all failed.

“The only way you can get away from the wasted vote is through electoral reform”

Join Facebook and stop Harpo and the Con-clones .

#12 HARRY S on 09.16.08 at 1:45 am

Is that Esther holding the “Save Middle Class” sign … and you in the red jacket with the “Cut Income Tax” sign ???

You know you could be hauled away by the OPP for creating a dangerous distraction standing on the shoulder of a ramp to the 401 … so watch out and don’t attempt that again.

#13 sedum on 09.16.08 at 2:21 am

Standing by the side of a road mightn’t be all that great an idea. The only casualties I care to see is H. and Co.

Sedum

#14 SydCixel on 09.16.08 at 2:28 am

Bonnie L was “spot on” for accuracy in describing PMSH by using the defining characteristics of a sociopath. Every Canadian should read that list before voting for him … or for any of his minions deployed to the constituencies.

#15 Barb the proofreader on 09.16.08 at 4:10 am

A trip down memory lane:

“Notice how when bad economic news or just other bad news for the Conservatives happens, one of the following instantly follows:
-Blame previous Liberal government.
-Harper railling about high gas prices when in opposition; then when PM, telling everyone to “get used to it”.
-?Ignore basic economic principles and issue misinformation about downturn.
-?Cherry pick talking points that are clearly wrong when seen in their full context.
-?Have private press conferences for select media.
-?Simply refuse to talk.

BY STEPHEN SMITH 04.29.08 [April]

Nearly 6 months since that observation, and three years in power..

No progress, no plan, nothing but broken promises, spending like drunken sailors, massacred social programs, muzzled MPs and a vast blanket of non-stop lies.
Courtesy of Harper & his Constant Con Machine. Had enough of them?

#16 Robert Gibbs on 09.16.08 at 5:01 am

Newfoundland Premier Danny Williams’ newly launched Anything But Conservative website.

http://anythingbutconservative.ca/

You’ve got to applaud Danny Williams for this excellent and impressive effort!

A premier with the balls to tell it like it is!

Here’s hoping it has the intended effect – countrywide!

#17 Loraine Lamontagne on 09.16.08 at 6:11 am

You’re getting very bad press in French – and getting misquoted again.
http://blogues.cyberpresse.ca/journet/?p=69#comment-231

#18 Dr Mike from Rodney on 09.16.08 at 6:14 am

Way to go Garth—who else would stand by the side of the road & wave signs to give us hope.

Thank God someone will do it.

Dr Mike Popovich–former life-long Conservative.

#19 Robert Gibbs on 09.16.08 at 6:39 am

May I suggest that all income trust investors, and indeed everyone else, send an e-mail or letter to Premier Danny Williams, praising him for his efforts in regards to his new Anything But Conservative website.

http://anythingbutconservative.ca/

See sample e-mail/letter below.
———————————–

September 16, 2008

Dear Mr. Danny Williams:

I would just like to offer my personal gratitude to you and your government of Newfoundland and Labrador for this excellent and impressive effort.

Please forgive the blatant accolades, but you are truly one of a kind and the only Canadian premier with the mettle to tell it like it is.

As a fellow Canadian from Ontario who has also been a victim of one of Stephen Harper’s broken promises – specifically the one concerning income trusts – I soundly applaud and wholeheartedly support your determination concerning this matter.

Here’s hoping it has the intended effect – countrywide!

Many regards and thank you.

Sincerely,

Robert Gibbs

#20 James- Chatham on 09.16.08 at 7:20 am

If nothing else, he might have pledged to do better, if he gets another mandate. – Garth

That’s the problem with the Harper government. In the world of Harpernomics, the mediocrity of the economy and the incompetance of Ministers, namely Baird, Flaherty and Lunn to name three, are seen as good.

#21 C. B. Innes on 09.16.08 at 9:06 am

By James- Chatham on 09.16.08 7:20 am,

Harper, at this point, has no where to go but denial of the economic situation. The Bush Administration has put the U.S. into a financial situation, through tax cuts and out of control spending, that they are incapable of cushioning the blow for the American public.

Harper does not want to admit that he has been moving in the same direction by removing the ability of government to cushion the blow. We were in a much better position to cushion an economic downturn before Harper drained the surplus with ineffective tax cuts and increased spending.

Our only advantage that we have over the U.S. is that we have not had eight years of the Harper agenda as they have had in the U.S. He would never admit that.

Governments may not be able to do much to affect the economic downturn once it has taken place (they could have taken steps to prevent them from being so extreme) but they could have been prepared to cushion the blow for those most negatively impacted.

#22 Bonnie L on 09.16.08 at 9:25 am

Interesting comment on CTV after article with Baird saying that the Green Shift plan will be good for the Oil sands.

John
To: What happened to Canadians?
I don’t really see what the problem is with the Green Shift plan. I’m on board with you. If I pollute I should pay. If I continue to support polluters by buying their products, I should pay and they should pay. If I reduce pollution I should be rewarded. Many Canadians many not embrace the Green Shift plan now, but we’ll have a plan similiar to it whatever party is in power whether we agree or not. Such a plan will be essential in a few years and Canadians will have no choice but to live with it. Energy conscience companies is where the economic wealth will migrate. My investments are already moved to stocks in these companies and there are big bucks to be made while doing good for our envirnoment. I don’t see where Green shift is going to do anything but help me and the envirnoment. If anyone reads the plan I don’t really see how they could be against it. However, if you listen to the politicians for your opinions you’ll go merrily along in ignorant bliss.

#23 Dan on 09.16.08 at 11:11 am

No offense but how do you and your colleagues intend to save middle class when you’re all upper class? Maybe if an MPs salary was around $50,000 a year instead of $150,000 you’d have a better idea of what to do.

I’m not saying you won’t have any good ideas but I think everyone in parliament would have a better idea if they were living through the problems. It kind of sucks when not-so-average people are supposed to represent average people.

If you want liberals back in office campaign with the promise that all liberal MPs will take a 66% pay cut if elected.. I’ll vote for Liberal if you do that.

#24 Ron p on 09.16.08 at 12:17 pm

Has anyone ever really thought of why harpo called an election? There must be a clear-cut reason, and so far, I haven’t seen this possibility discussed.

By Charles Oxley on 09.16.08 1:26 am

Charles, google 2012, which will be the next election year for Canada and the US.

ps: I’m not an end-timer but I suspect we have MP’s that fit the description. I’ll leave it at that.

#25 Ron p on 09.16.08 at 12:25 pm

If you want liberals back in office campaign with the promise that all liberal MPs will take a 66% pay cut if elected.. I’ll vote for Liberal if you do that.

By Dan on 09.16.08 11:11 am

You must be very upset to have learned that the PC prov gov’t of stelmach gave all MLA’s a $50,000 raise.
The decision was made within hours of it being recommended. WE the public never had a chance to question the raise.

#26 Irene on 09.16.08 at 1:24 pm

No offense but how do you and your colleagues intend to save middle class when you’re all upper class? Maybe if an MPs salary was around $50,000 a year instead of $150,000 you’d have a better idea of what to do.

I’m not saying you won’t have any good ideas but I think everyone in parliament would have a better idea if they were living through the problems. It kind of sucks when not-so-average people are supposed to represent average people.

If you want liberals back in office campaign with the promise that all liberal MPs will take a 66% pay cut if elected.. I’ll vote for Liberal if you do that.

By Dan on 09.16.08 11:11 am

Are you giving the CON ARTISTS or the NDP’s or the blocs or the Greens the same ultimatum Dan? I am curious.

Cheers,

#27 Johnny Test on 09.16.08 at 1:35 pm

Interesting comment on CTV after article with Baird saying that the Green Shift plan will be good for the Oil sands.

John

By Bonnie L on 09.16.08 9:25 am

Baird is right. You won’t reduce emissions without a cap so how are the Liberals going to live up to the Kyoto protocol if they get back in office? Collect 25 billion a year from Canadians and industry and buy carbon offsets abroad?

#28 Barb the proofreader on 09.16.08 at 1:41 pm

So when Harpo blows this electon who will be the new CON candidate to replace him? Back room talk from out West says that some influential people are ready to start a revolt if nothing changes after this election
BY SMOKINGJOE 15.08 11:32 PM

Voters in Anders Calgary West riding are dazed. Hopefully that translates into enough brave & sharp souls to strategically vote him out. Even if voted out though, he’ll show up again, like Bob, in the movie What About Bob.

#29 Flora on 09.16.08 at 6:47 pm

If you want liberals back in office campaign with the promise that all liberal MPs will take a 66% pay cut if elected.. I’ll vote for Liberal if you do that.

By Dan on 09.16.08 11:11 am,

Of course, you would not expect the elitist Conservatives to do the same.

Most MPs earn the money they make.

#30 C. B. Innes on 09.16.08 at 6:51 pm

No offense but how do you and your colleagues intend to save middle class when you’re all upper class? Maybe if an MPs salary was around $50,000 a year instead of $150,000 you’d have a better idea of what to do.

By Dan on 09.16.08 11:11 am,

What is your definition of “middle class” and “upper class”?

#31 Simon on 09.16.08 at 9:52 pm

I believe Statscan broke it down in 2005 as the bottom third of households had an income of up to $35,000/year, the middle of $35,000-$69,999 and the top third of $70,000 plus.

No idea what that’d translate into today but that’s a ballpark breakdown according to Statscan.

#32 Truth B Told on 09.16.08 at 11:34 pm

So when Harpo blows this electon who will be the new CON candidate to replace him? Back room talk from out West says that some influential people are ready to start a revolt if nothing changes after this election….

By Smokingjoe on 09.15.08 11:32 p
I saw one TV commentary several weeks ago that Jim Prentice is the one they are grooming to be the next Regressive Preservative leader.

#33 Barb the proofreader on 09.17.08 at 3:04 am

..allows dubya to stay where he is, powers to suspend the US election, declare martial law and because we are in the throes of an election when there shouldn’t have been one, harpo would follow his mentor to a T, and impose the same..
Just a thought for the night.
BY CHARLES OXLEY ON 09.16.08 1:26 AM

Charles,

Your entire post is well thought out as usual, very interesting, and quite plausible under the circumstances, even a little too likely. The closely knit networks of the Neo Con Parties both sides of the border has successfully disguised a fringe element that took over both the Republicans and the Progressive Conservatives, and they intend to serve the military industrials and keep themselves in power in any way they can. Too bad the general population still fantasizes that the neocons could possibly say anything truthful.

Hope all is well with you.

#34 Dan on 09.17.08 at 7:39 am

Are you giving the CON ARTISTS or the NDP’s or the blocs or the Greens the same ultimatum Dan? I am curious.

Cheers,

By Irene on 09.16.08 1:24 pm

Damn straigth!

I also realize that many MPs (such as Garth) earn every penny they make since they work around the clock. Other MPs have a staff to talk to the people and just kind of sit in the background until the next election. My MP never answers my emails and I have absolutely no clue what it is he actually does.

To answer another question, I believe a middle class family has an income of around $40,000 – $70,000 per year. Upper class would be above that. At least that’s what I got from a little google search ;-)

#35 Jim Lawton on 09.17.08 at 6:40 pm

Are you god??
You must be because you (and apparently only you) know what is best for me. Thank you for showing me the way to bliss and harmony under the liberal banner of inclusion and fairness. Oh wait that is what a conservative is…I am so confused…..

Give me a break Garth.

Bless you. — Garth